The Pats Empire Line
Patriots futures
Where Novig and the books price the New England Patriots for the whole season: Super Bowl, AFC championship, AFC East, Make the playoffs and Regular-season wins. Each row shows Novig first, then every licensed book that quotes it, the best price, and the chance that price implies (the margin included).
Updated Nov 6, 6:30 PM ET · refreshed about every 30 minutes
Super Bowl odds
New England Patriots: +2500 at Hard Rock Bet, a 4% chance by that price.
| Team | Best | Implied |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New England Patriots | +2500 Hard Rock Bet · +$2500.00 | 4% | +763 | +1900 | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 | +2500 | +2200 |
AFC championship odds
New England Patriots: +850 at BetMGM, a 11% chance by that price.
| Team | Best | Implied | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | +850 BetMGM · +$850.00 | 11% | +763 | +620 | +850 | +850 | +850 | +750 |
AFC East odds
Buffalo Bills is the shortest price at -300 (DraftKings), a 75% chance by that price. New England Patriots (+290) and New York Jets (+20000) are next.
| Team | Best | Implied | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Buffalo Bills | -300 DraftKings · +$33.33 | 75% | -10532 | -300 | -400 | -400 | -400 | -300 |
| New England Patriots | +290 bet365 · +$290.00 | 26% | +242 | +230 | +275 | +290 | +275 | +250 |
 New York Jets | +20000 BetMGM · +$20000.00 | <1% | +15629 | +15000 | +20000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
 Miami Dolphins | +25000 BetMGM · +$25000.00 | <1% | +18773 | +15000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Make the playoffs odds
New England Patriots: -340 at FanDuel, a 77% chance by that price.
| Team | Best | Implied | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | -340 FanDuel · +$29.41 | 77% | -453 | -450 | -340 | -425 | -400 |
Regular-season wins odds
The books set the Patriots at 10.5 wins; the best Over price is +141 at Novig.
| Line | Best | Implied | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 | 10.5 +141 Novig · +$141.00 | 41% | 10.5 +141 | 10.5 -108 | 10.5 +120 | 10.5 +115 | 10.5 +115 | 10.5 +125 |
| Under 10.5 | 10.5 -112 DraftKings · +$89.29 | 53% | 10.5 -159 | 10.5 -112 | 10.5 -140 | 10.5 -140 | 10.5 -139 | 10.5 -145 |
Game-by-game prices, including Novig's, are on this week's board, and the schedule is on the New England Patriots page.
The Pats Empire Line